UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Crute
45%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Crute
This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 55% vs Oleksiejczuk at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
54.6
56.7
Performance Avg
55.3
55
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
CruteOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (100% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Crute · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanRating 5Submission
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L · Sub · R2
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Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
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Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
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