Navajo Stirling vs Tuco Tokkos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley

Tampa, USA

14 Dec 2024

Light Heavyweight

57%

Stirling

43%

Tokkos

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Navajo Stirling

9 – 0

6'4"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 66

Tuco Tokkos

11 – 6

Submission Hunter36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'4"

CFR 49

★ Official Result

Navajo StirlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Tuco Tokkos · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Stirling

→

Actual result

Stirling wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stirling at 57% vs Tokkos at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tokkos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Stirling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StirlingTokkos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stirling

Tokkos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"

Height

6'4"

79"+

Reach

76"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Stirling

Tokkos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.7

49.2

59.5

Performance Avg

39.7

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Stirling

Tokkos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

0.6

56%

Strike Accuracy

39%

4.5

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.5

1 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

33Distance11

2Clinch1

0Ground0

Stirling

Tokkos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

1.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stirling

Tokkos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/9 fights

Chin rating based on

4/17 fights

Stirling

Tokkos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

Upcoming

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

Stirling

Tokkos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

25%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stirling

Tokkos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.5

1.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

1.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

8.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Stirling

Strike Zones

Tokkos

Stirling

Attacking

35 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Tokkos

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

35 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stirling targets the head (49% of attacks) — Tokkos absorbs 49% of strikes there

🎯Tokkos targets the head (58% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stirling

RND

Tokkos

0/0R00/0

Stirling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3

WinLossTrend

Tokkos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3

WinLossTrend

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming

Ion Cutelaba

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · KO · R2

Bruno LopesRating 5.2

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Rodolfo BellatoRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · Dec · R3

Ivan ErslanRating 4.5

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Tuco TokkosRating 5.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Tokkos · Last 4

L · Dec · R3

Ivan ErslanRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

W · Sub · R2

Junior TafaRating 6.1

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

L · Dec · R3

Navajo StirlingRating 7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · Sub · R1

Oumar SyRating 2.5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Navajo Stirling · Tuco Tokkos

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