METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Stirling
41%
Tokkos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Navajo StirlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tuco Tokkos · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stirling
→
Actual result
Stirling wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stirling at 59% vs Tokkos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StirlingTokkos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stirling
Tokkos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"+
Reach
76"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stirling
Tokkos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.1
49.2
64.5
Performance Avg
39.7
41
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
43
Stirling
Tokkos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.8
6.0
Style: Volume
0.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
16
Body
1
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
33Distance11
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Stirling
Tokkos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stirling
Tokkos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Stirling
Tokkos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Stirling
Tokkos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stirling
Tokkos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
StirlingTokkos
Strike Zones
Stirling
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTokkos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stirling targets the head (49% of attacks) — Tokkos absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Tokkos targets the head (58% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stirling
RND
Tokkos
0/0R00/0
Stirling · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R2
Ion CutelabaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
Tokkos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Oumar SySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05