UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Featherweight
VS
43%
Jourdain
57%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Jourdain at 43% vs Silva at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jourdain
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
30
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
66.7
48.6
Performance Avg
61.7
44
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
87
Jourdain
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
2Clinch5
0Ground1
Jourdain
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Jourdain
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
87
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R3
Jourdain
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
JourdainSilva
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSilva
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (67% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellRating 6.3Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

