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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
61%
Lee
39%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:52
Andrea
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13 – 11
5'6"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
AS
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"
CFR 28
★ Official Result
Andrea LeewinsSubmissionR2 · 4:52
def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Lee holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeeShevchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lee
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
27.8
35.8
Performance Avg
43.2
36
Quality of Victory
39
53
Momentum Score
73
Lee
Shevchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Lee
Shevchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Lee
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
73
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lee
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Shevchenko
Striking2.7 / 3.5Volume5.5 / 5.0Grappling3.0 / 3.2Wrestling2.1 / 2.2Submission2.0 / 2.5Pressure3.9 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Lee
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Lee
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Shevchenko
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.8W4.5W5.5W5.7L6.3L5.5L5.2W5.2W6.2L6.5L7.0L6.3L6.5L6.1L2018-052020-022022-052024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.8L5.2W3.2L3.9L4.5W2018-112019-082020-112021-102022-07
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

News & Media

Andrea Lee · Antonina Shevchenko
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