UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
61%
Lee
39%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lee
Lee holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lee
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
27.8
35.8
Performance Avg
43.2
36
Quality of Victory
39
53
Momentum Score
73
Lee
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Lee
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Lee
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
73
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lee
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lee
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
LeeShevchenko
Strike Zones
Lee
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lee
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
