METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Oezdemir
43%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Volkan OezdemirwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aleksandar Rakic · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oezdemir
→
Actual result
Oezdemir wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 57% vs Rakic at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oezdemir has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OezdemirRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oezdemir
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
38.3
50.8
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
35
52
Momentum Score
30
Oezdemir
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.8
Style: Volume
6.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
25
8
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance22
8Clinch8
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Oezdemir
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
30
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Oezdemir
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
29%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
OezdemirRakic
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedRakic
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
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Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
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Bogdan GuskovSubmission
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Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05