UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Oezdemir
43%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Volkan
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Aleksandar
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oezdemir

This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 57% vs Rakic at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oezdemir has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Rakic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oezdemir
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
37.5
50.8
Performance Avg
43.8
47
Quality of Victory
37
52
Momentum Score
25
Oezdemir
Rakic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
25
8
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance22
8Clinch8
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Rakic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Oezdemir
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Oezdemir
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oezdemir
Rakic
Striking6.7 / 4.4Volume3.8 / 6.4Grappling1.7 / 1.6Wrestling1.2 / 1.1Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Oezdemir
Strike Zones
Rakic
Oezdemir
Attacking
18HEAD8BODY4LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Rakic
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD8BODY4LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oezdemir
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0

Oezdemir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.1W5.0W5.0W2.1L3.9L6.5L5.2W4.6W4.4L7.0L5.2W6.7L7.0W5.8W7.4L5.9W2017-022018-102020-072023-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Rakic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.3L5.7W4.5W3.3L4.4L7.0L3.4L2017-092019-062021-032024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Oezdemir · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Rakic · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

News & Media

Volkan Oezdemir · Aleksandar Rakic
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