UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Middleweight
VS
46%
Muniz
54%
Allen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Allen
This is a genuine toss-up — Muniz at 46% vs Allen at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Allen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Muniz's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Muniz
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
36
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Muniz
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
61.8
47.7
Performance Avg
56.8
40
Quality of Victory
43
92
Momentum Score
88
Muniz
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
2
Body
2
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Muniz
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Muniz
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/32 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Muniz
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Muniz
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muniz
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MunizAllen
Strike Zones
Muniz
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAllen
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muniz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (64% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muniz
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
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