UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Lightweight
VS
44%
Miller
56%
Dariush
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dariush
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 44% vs Dariush at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dariush has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dariush has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Dariush
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Dariush
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
54.9
51.5
Performance Avg
50.4
45
Quality of Victory
39
28
Momentum Score
100
Miller
Dariush
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Miller
Dariush
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Dariush
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
26/31 fights
Miller
Dariush
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Miller
Dariush
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
47%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
14
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Dariush
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MillerDariush
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDariush
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dariush absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dariush targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Dariush
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dariush · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Dariush · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

