UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
77%
Teixeira
23%
Cummins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
12.7
58.4
Performance Avg
39.0
51
Quality of Victory
34
59
Momentum Score
45
Teixeira
Cummins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance3
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Teixeira
Cummins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Teixeira
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Cummins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
TeixeiraCummins
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCummins
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cummins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Cummins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04