UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Welterweight
VS
57%
Serra
43%
Trigg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Serra
This is a genuine toss-up — Serra at 57% vs Trigg at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Trigg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Serra's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trigg has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Serra
Trigg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
51+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Serra
Trigg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
13.9
53.3
Performance Avg
45.9
56
Quality of Victory
58
52
Momentum Score
0
Serra
Trigg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Serra
Trigg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Serra
Trigg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
20
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Serra
Trigg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Serra
Trigg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Serra
Trigg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
SerraTrigg
Strike Zones
Serra
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTrigg
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Serra targets the head (58% of attacks) — Trigg absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Trigg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Serra
RND
Trigg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Serra · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Trigg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Serra · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
Trigg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt SerraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
L · Sub · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 1.5Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · KO · R2
Renato VerissimoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10