UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Maldonado
37%
Stringer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maldonado
Maldonado holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Stringer has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Maldonado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Maldonado throws more volume but Stringer connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stringer has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maldonado
Stringer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Stringer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
10.2
39.8
Performance Avg
28.3
36
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
33
Maldonado
Stringer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.3
63%
Strike Accuracy
64%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
8
Body
2
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
4Distance11
1Clinch3
22Ground1
Maldonado
Stringer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Stringer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/30 fights
Maldonado
Stringer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Stringer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maldonado
Stringer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MaldonadoStringer
Strike Zones
Maldonado
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedStringer
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (70% of attacks) — Stringer absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Stringer targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maldonado
RND
Stringer
0/0R00/0
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Stringer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Stringer · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Fabio MaldonadoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Francimar BarrosoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03