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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
74%
Magny
26%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 18
β˜… Official Result
Neil MagnywinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Erick Silva Β· UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
β†’
Actual result
Magny wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Magny is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 4 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagnySilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Magny
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
17.5
48.3
Performance Avg
51.3
37
Quality of Victory
54
81
Momentum Score
46
Magny
Silva
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.4
5.8
Style: Volume
0.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
6
4
Body
2
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
32Distance19
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Magny
Silva
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
7.1
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
38/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Magny
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
81
46
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Magny
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
5
14
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Silva
Striking4.5 / 3.8Volume5.8 / 0.9Grappling2.3 / 5.7Wrestling1.6 / 4.0Submission1.2 / 7.1Pressure5.0 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Magny
Strike Zones
Silva
Magny
Attacking
30HEAD4BODY2LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY12LEGS20 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY12LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD4BODY2LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (83% of attacks) β€” Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (60% of attacks) β€” Magny absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Magny Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R2
Ramiz Brahimaj
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Β· 2026-08
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Yaroslav Amosov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jake Matthews
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· 2025-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11

Silva Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jordan Mein
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos Β· 2017-12
L Β· KO Β· R2
Yancy Medeiros
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Β· 2017-06
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Luan Chagas
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg Β· 2016-09
L Β· KO Β· R2
Nordine Taleb
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz Β· 2016-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Neil Magny
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira Β· 2015-08

News & Media

Neil Magny Β· Erick Silva
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