UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
73%
Magny
27%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magny
Magny is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Magny throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magny
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
17.5
47.4
Performance Avg
51.3
36
Quality of Victory
54
75
Momentum Score
46
Magny
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
6
4
Body
2
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
32Distance19
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Magny
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
7.1
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Magny
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Magny
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
5
14
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MagnySilva
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSilva
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
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Jordan MeinRating 5.5Decision
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