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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
67%
Brown
33%
Wilks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:27
MB
Matt Brown
"The Immortal"
2619
6'0"75" reachOrthodox45 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 43
JW
James Wilks
"Lightning"
74
Well-Rounded48 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 21
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:27
def. James Wilks · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Brown holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Wilks has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wilks has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BrownWilks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Brown
Wilks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Wilks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
20.5
54.0
Performance Avg
57.5
52
Quality of Victory
63
78
Momentum Score
55
Brown
Wilks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
5.0
2.1
Style: Volume
5.0
13 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch2
11Ground0
Brown
Wilks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Wilks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Brown
Wilks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
55
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Brown
Wilks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Wilks
Striking8.8 / 1.0Volume2.1 / 5.0Grappling1.2 / 5.2Wrestling0.8 / 3.6Submission1.2 / 5.0Pressure7.9 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Brown
Strike Zones
Wilks
Brown
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Wilks
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (93% of attacks) — Wilks absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Wilks targets the head (86% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Wilks
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brown · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Court McGee
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan Barberena
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego Lima
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos Condit
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel Baeza
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

Wilks · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Claude Patrick
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter Sobotta
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Matt Brown
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
DaMarques Johnson
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06

News & Media

Matt Brown · James Wilks
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