METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
67%
Brown
33%
Wilks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:27
def. James Wilks · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Wilks has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wilks has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownWilks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Wilks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Wilks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
20.5
54.0
Performance Avg
57.5
52
Quality of Victory
63
78
Momentum Score
55
Brown
Wilks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
13 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch2
11Ground0
Brown
Wilks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Wilks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Brown
Wilks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
55
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Brown
Wilks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Wilks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
BrownWilks
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWilks
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (93% of attacks) — Wilks absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Wilks targets the head (86% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Wilks
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Wilks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
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W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Wilks · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06