METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Rozenstruik
41%
Sakai
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Jairzinho RozenstruikwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Augusto Sakai · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rozenstruik
→
Actual result
Rozenstruik wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 59% vs Sakai at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rozenstruik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Sakai throws more volume but Rozenstruik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RozenstruikSakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
77"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
38.9
56.7
Performance Avg
44.4
54
Quality of Victory
37
56
Momentum Score
100
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
8 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
5
Body
1
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
12
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rozenstruik
Sakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
RozenstruikSakai
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSakai
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (38% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rozenstruik
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sakai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rozenstruik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09