UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Lightweight
VS
30%
Madadi
70%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Madadi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Madadi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Madadi
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Madadi
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
47.9
46.0
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
38
78
Momentum Score
67
Madadi
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance7
2Clinch2
1Ground4
Madadi
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Madadi
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Madadi
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
67
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Madadi
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Madadi
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MadadiSilva
Strike Zones
Madadi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSilva
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Madadi targets the head (60% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (92% of attacks) — Madadi absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Madadi
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Madadi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Madadi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe DuffyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · KO · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Sub · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
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