METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
51%
Edwards
49%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 51% vs Muhammad at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Muhammad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Edwards
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
35+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
55.8
51.1
Performance Avg
47.1
36
Quality of Victory
31
95
Momentum Score
100
Edwards
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.2
Style: Volume
7.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Edwards
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Edwards
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Muhammad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
EdwardsMuhammad
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMuhammad
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (50% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Muhammad · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Gabriel BonfimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05