METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Lightweight
VS
59%
Diakiese
41%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:48
★ Official Result
Rafael AlveswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:48
def. Marc Diakiese · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diakiese
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Diakiese at 59% vs Alves at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiakieseAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diakiese
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
26.1
41.2
Performance Avg
42.4
33
Quality of Victory
54
88
Momentum Score
29
Diakiese
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
7.1
Style: Volume
0.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
1
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Diakiese
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Diakiese
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diakiese
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DiakieseAlves
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAlves
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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Alves · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Marc DiakieseSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovDecision
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