METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Petrino
52%
Asplund
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vitor PetrinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Steven Asplund · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Asplund
→
Actual result
Petrino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 48% vs Asplund at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Asplund has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Asplund has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoAsplund
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrino
Asplund
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+78"
28
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Asplund
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
63.7
55.0
Performance Avg
53.0
40
Quality of Victory
55
71
Momentum Score
71
Petrino
Asplund
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
5.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
22
13
Body
0
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Petrino
Asplund
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Asplund
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Petrino
Asplund
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
71
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Petrino
Asplund
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Asplund
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
PetrinoAsplund
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedAsplund
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (51% of attacks) — Asplund absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Asplund targets the head (81% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Asplund
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Asplund · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Asplund · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12