METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Petrino
51%
Asplund
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vitor PetrinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Steven Asplund · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Asplund
→
Actual result
Petrino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 49% vs Asplund at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoAsplund
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrino
Asplund
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+78"
29
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Asplund
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.9
60.3
54.8
Performance Avg
50.7
38
Quality of Victory
40
81
Momentum Score
85
Petrino
Asplund
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.6
Style: Volume
5.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
22
13
Body
0
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Petrino
Asplund
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrino
Asplund
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Petrino
Asplund
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
85
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Petrino
Asplund
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Asplund
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
PetrinoAsplund
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedAsplund
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (51% of attacks) — Asplund absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Asplund targets the head (81% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Asplund
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
Asplund · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12