UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Flyweight
VS
47%
Pantoja
53%
Kape
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
22 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak32 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'5"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kape

This is a genuine toss-up — Pantoja at 47% vs Kape at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pantoja
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+68"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pantoja
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
69.6
60.2
Performance Avg
61.4
49
Quality of Victory
56
65
Momentum Score
89
Pantoja
Kape
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
4
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance21
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Kape
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Pantoja
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
89
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pantoja
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
6
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Kape
Striking3.0 / 8.5Volume5.0 / 3.7Grappling4.5 / 0.7Wrestling3.1 / 0.5Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Kape
Pantoja
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Kape
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (60% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Kape · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.8L5.7L5.8W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.9L6.4W6.4W5.8W2021-022021-122024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Kape · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Manel Kape
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