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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Flyweight
VS
45%
Pantoja
55%
Kape
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
306
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
227
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak32 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'5"
CFR 73
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Manel Kape · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
Actual result
Pantoja wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pantoja at 45% vs Kape at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PantojaKape
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pantoja
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+68"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pantoja
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
72.8
60.2
Performance Avg
65.8
49
Quality of Victory
61
65
Momentum Score
89
Pantoja
Kape
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
8.9
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.4
5.0
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
4
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance21
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Kape
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pantoja
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Pantoja
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
89
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pantoja
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Kape
Striking3.0 / 8.9Volume5.0 / 3.5Grappling4.5 / 0.6Wrestling3.1 / 0.4Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Kape
Pantoja
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Kape
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (60% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0

Pantoja · Last 5

Upcoming
Joshua Van
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua Van
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-France
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai Asakura
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve Erceg
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Kape · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Kyoji Horiguchi
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon Royval
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu Almabayev
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno Silva
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad Mokaev
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Manel Kape
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