UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Lightweight
VS
3%
Kasuya
97%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:06
CFR 64
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Volkanovski
Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkanovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
71"
36+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
64.0
0.0
Performance Avg
59.8
0
Quality of Victory
44
0
Momentum Score
100
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
30
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground30
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kasuya
Volkanovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
KasuyaVolkanovski
Strike Zones
Kasuya
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedVolkanovski
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kasuya targets the head (100% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (97% of attacks) — Kasuya absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kasuya
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
Kasuya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Volkanovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kasuya · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Nick HeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07