Raul Rosas Jr. vs Christian Rodriguez

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2

Miami, USA

8 Apr 2023

Bantamweight

59%

Jr.

41%

Rodriguez

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Raul Rosas Jr.

"El Nino Problema"

12 – 1

5'9"67" reachSwitch21 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 67

Christian Rodriguez

"Ceerod"

12 – 4

Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"

CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 59% vs Rodriguez at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jr.

Rodriguez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

67"

Reach

+71"

21+

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Jr.

Rodriguez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

67.3

46.2

58.1

Performance Avg

40.7

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Jr.

Rodriguez

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

0.6

1.9

47%

Strike Accuracy

51%

3.4

Striking Style Score (/10)

1.1

1 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance3

0Clinch0

0Ground20

Jr.

Rodriguez

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.1

3.9

Grappling Style Score (/10)

3.5

2.7

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

2.5

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Jr.

Rodriguez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/13 fights

Chin rating based on

10/16 fights

Jr.

Rodriguez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

Jr.

Rodriguez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jr.

Rodriguez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.1

3.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.5

2.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

6.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.1

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.5

Jr.

Strike Zones

Rodriguez

Jr.

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Rodriguez

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jr.

RND

Rodriguez

0/0R00/0

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3

WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4

WinLossTrend

Jr. · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Rob FontRating 5.7

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Vince MoralesRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

AoriqilengRating 5.3

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

W · Sub · R2

Ricky TurciosRating 5.2

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Terrence MitchellRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Rodriguez · Last 5

Upcoming

Hyder Amil

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Andre FiliRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Melquizael CostaRating 6.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Austin BashiRating 5.9

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

L · Sub · R1

Julian ErosaRating 1.7

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Raul Rosas Jr. · Christian Rodriguez

← Back to fights