UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Welterweight
VS
50%
Muhammad
50%
Neal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Geoff
Geoff Neal
"Handz of Steel"
16 – 8
Striker2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'11"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

This is a genuine toss-up — Muhammad at 50% vs Neal at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Neal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neal has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Muhammad
Neal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Muhammad
Neal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
55.8
48.5
Performance Avg
51.7
31
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
72
Muhammad
Neal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
25
6
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance18
1Clinch3
0Ground5
Muhammad
Neal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Neal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
38
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Muhammad
Neal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad
Neal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muhammad
Neal
Striking2.8 / 7.4Volume7.9 / 3.1Grappling2.5 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.7 / 1.3Pressure3.6 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Muhammad
Strike Zones
Neal
Muhammad
Attacking
22HEAD6BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD1BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Neal
Attacking
25HEAD1BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD6BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (76% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Neal targets the head (96% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Muhammad
RND
Neal
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Neal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.2W5.6W5.9W5.0W6.1L6.1L5.0W7.0W6.1L7.0L5.2W3.7L3.3L2018-022019-122022-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Neal · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Belal Muhammad · Geoff Neal
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