METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Sacramento, USA
17 Dec 2016
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Faber
40%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Urijah FaberwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brad Pickett · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Faber
→
Actual result
Faber wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Faber holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FaberPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Faber
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
13.8
49.4
Performance Avg
36.4
42
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
60
Faber
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.1
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
1Clinch0
14Ground1
Faber
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
5.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Faber
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
12
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
14/39 fights
Faber
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Faber
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
FaberPickett
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPickett
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (87% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (60% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraDecision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07