UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Reyes
53%
Jacoby
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jacoby
This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 47% vs Jacoby at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jacoby has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reyes
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
62.1
56.3
Performance Avg
53.8
49
Quality of Victory
48
71
Momentum Score
91
Reyes
Jacoby
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
3
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance6
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Reyes
Jacoby
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
58
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Reyes
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
91
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Reyes
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reyes
Jacoby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
ReyesJacoby
Strike Zones
Reyes
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJacoby
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reyes
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Reyes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

