UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Bantamweight
VS
89%
Gagnon
11%
Salazar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:06
MG
Mitch Gagnon
12 – 5
5'5"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
RS
Roman Salazar
"El Gallito"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gagnon

Gagnon is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gagnon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Striking split: Gagnon throws more volume but Salazar connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Gagnon
Salazar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gagnon
Salazar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
2.1
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
38
Momentum Score
0
Gagnon
Salazar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Gagnon
Salazar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gagnon
Salazar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Gagnon
Salazar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Gagnon
Salazar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gagnon
Salazar
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume3.0 / 0.0Grappling6.6 / 0.0Wrestling4.6 / 0.0Submission7.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Gagnon
Strike Zones
Salazar
Gagnon
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Salazar
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gagnon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Salazar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Salazar targets the head (33% of attacks) — Gagnon absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gagnon
RND
Salazar
0/0R00/0

Gagnon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.0L5.5L5.5L2012-072013-092014-102016-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Salazar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0101.5L3.6L2014-102015-08
WinLossTrend

Gagnon · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cole SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Matthew LopezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Renan BaraoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R1
Roman SalazarRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim GormanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04

Salazar · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Marlon VeraRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
Upcoming
Norifumi Yamamoto
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Mitch Gagnon · Roman Salazar
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