UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Middleweight
VS
47%
Philippou
53%
Larkin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Larkin
This is a genuine toss-up — Philippou at 47% vs Larkin at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Larkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Philippou
Larkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Philippou
Larkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
20.5
48.5
Performance Avg
47.0
41
Quality of Victory
45
62
Momentum Score
92
Philippou
Larkin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
2
Body
2
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
11Distance11
3Clinch5
1Ground0
Philippou
Larkin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Philippou
Larkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Philippou
Larkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
62
92
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Philippou
Larkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Philippou
Larkin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
PhilippouLarkin
Strike Zones
Philippou
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLarkin
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Philippou targets the head (60% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Larkin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Philippou absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Philippou
RND
Larkin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Philippou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Larkin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Philippou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gegard MousasiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · KO · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
Larkin · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01