METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Craig
51%
Walker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:16
★ Official Result
Johnny WalkerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:16
def. Paul Craig · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Walker
→
Actual result
Walker wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Craig at 49% vs Walker at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Craig's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CraigWalker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Craig
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
76"
Reach
+82"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Craig
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
50.4
50.4
Performance Avg
54.6
52
Quality of Victory
56
46
Momentum Score
41
Craig
Walker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
1
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch5
0Ground5
Craig
Walker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Craig
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Craig
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
41
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Craig
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
88%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Craig
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
CraigWalker
Strike Zones
Craig
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedWalker
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Craig targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (75% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Craig
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
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