METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
93%
Casey
7%
Stanciu
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:36
★ Official Result
Cortney CaseywinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:36
def. Cristina Stanciu · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Casey
→
Actual result
Casey wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Casey is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Casey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaseyStanciu
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Casey
Stanciu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'3"
67"
Reach
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Stanciu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
2.1
40.3
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Casey
Stanciu
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch1
16Ground0
Casey
Stanciu
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Casey
Stanciu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Casey
Stanciu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Casey
Stanciu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Casey
Stanciu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CaseyStanciu
Strike Zones
Casey
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedStanciu
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (95% of attacks) — Stanciu absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Stanciu targets the head (40% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Casey
RND
Stanciu
0/0R00/0
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Stanciu · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Cortney CaseyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04