UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
93%
Casey
7%
Stanciu
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:36
CC
Cortney Casey
"Cast Iron"
10 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
CS
Cristina Stanciu
"Barbie"
5 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox5'3"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Casey

Casey is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Casey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Striking split: Casey throws more volume but Stanciu connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Casey
Stanciu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'3"
67"
Reach
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Stanciu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
2.1
40.3
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Casey
Stanciu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch1
16Ground0
Casey
Stanciu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Casey
Stanciu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Casey
Stanciu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Casey
Stanciu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Casey
Stanciu
Striking2.5 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling3.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Casey
Strike Zones
Stanciu
Casey
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Stanciu
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (95% of attacks) — Stanciu absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Stanciu targets the head (40% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Casey
RND
Stanciu
0/0R00/0

Casey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.7L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.6W5.5L5.0W5.2L6.1L4.5W5.5L2015-072016-112018-082021-032022-07
WinLossTrend

Stanciu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0106.1L1.5L2016-042016-07
WinLossTrend

Casey · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

Stanciu · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

News & Media

Cortney Casey · Cristina Stanciu
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