UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Lightweight
VS
30%
Campbell
70%
Silverio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SC
Shane Campbell
"Shaolin"
14 – 6
6'0"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
ES
Elias Silverio
"Xuxu"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silverio

Silverio is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Campbell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Campbell's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Campbell
Silverio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Campbell
Silverio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.5
17.3
23.0
Performance Avg
43.0
25
Quality of Victory
32
15
Momentum Score
71
Campbell
Silverio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
1
Body
2
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance6
3Clinch1
10Ground0
Campbell
Silverio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Campbell
Silverio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Campbell
Silverio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Campbell
Silverio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Campbell
Silverio
Striking0.4 / 1.2Volume8.4 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.6 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Campbell
Strike Zones
Silverio
Campbell
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY7LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Silverio
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY7LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Campbell targets the head (64% of attacks) — Silverio absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Silverio targets the head (43% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Campbell
RND
Silverio
0/0R00/0

Campbell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0101.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L1.5L2015-042015-082016-022016-052016-08
WinLossTrend

Silverio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L2013-092014-012014-052014-122015-08
WinLossTrend

Campbell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R2
Erik KochRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Silverio · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shane CampbellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Rashid MagomedovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R3
Ernest ChavezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Joao ZeferinoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

News & Media

Shane Campbell · Elias Silverio
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