UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Flyweight
VS
88%
Holohan
12%
Howell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PH
Paddy Holohan
"The Hooligan"
12 – 2
5'10"69" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SH
Shane Howell
13 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holohan

Holohan is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holohan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Holohan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Holohan
Howell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holohan
Howell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
2.4
44.8
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
74
Momentum Score
0
Holohan
Howell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
29%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
0
Body
4
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Holohan
Howell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holohan
Howell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Holohan
Howell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Holohan
Howell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holohan
Howell
Striking1.2 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Holohan
Strike Zones
Howell
Holohan
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY6LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Howell
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY6LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holohan targets the head (63% of attacks) — Howell absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Howell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Holohan absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holohan
RND
Howell
0/0R00/0

Holohan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L2014-072014-102015-012015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Howell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2014-062015-01
WinLossTrend

Holohan · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Shane HowellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Josh SampoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07

Howell · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Sub · R1
Ray BorgRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06

News & Media

Paddy Holohan · Shane Howell
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