UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
47%
Muradov
53%
Borralho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Makhmud
Makhmud Muradov
268
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Caio
Caio Borralho
"The Natural"
182
Well-Rounded33 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Borralho

This is a genuine toss-up — Muradov at 47% vs Borralho at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Muradov throws more volume but Borralho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Muradov
Borralho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Muradov
Borralho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
62.8
49.2
Performance Avg
54.6
38
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
100
Muradov
Borralho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
63%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground2
Muradov
Borralho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Muradov
Borralho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
7/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Muradov
Borralho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Muradov
Borralho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muradov
Borralho
Striking6.3 / 3.0Volume5.3 / 7.8Grappling1.2 / 2.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure5.5 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Muradov
Strike Zones
Borralho
Muradov
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Borralho
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muradov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Borralho absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Borralho targets the head (80% of attacks) — Muradov absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Muradov
RND
Borralho
0/0R00/0

Muradov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W5.5W3.8L6.9L4.9W2019-092019-122021-012021-082022-102023-07
WinLossTrend

Borralho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.2W5.3W6.0W5.5W6.9L5.5W2022-042023-042024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Muradov · Last 5

Upcoming
Aliaskhab Khizriev
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

Borralho · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R5
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Makhmud Muradov · Caio Borralho
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