METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Welterweight
VS
88%
Story
12%
Jardine
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brock Jardine · UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Story is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Story has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryJardine
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
2.4
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Story
Jardine
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
13
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance9
3Clinch0
10Ground0
Story
Jardine
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Story
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Story
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Jardine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StoryJardine
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedJardine
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the body (54% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the head (67% of attacks) — Story absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jardine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Jardine · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Kenny RobertsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06