METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Welterweight
VS
88%
Story
12%
Jardine
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brock Jardine · UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Story is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Story has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryJardine
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
2.4
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Story
Jardine
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
13
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance9
3Clinch0
10Ground0
Story
Jardine
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Story
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Story
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Story
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Jardine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StoryJardine
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedJardine
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the body (54% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the head (67% of attacks) — Story absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Jardine · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Kenny RobertsonSubmission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryDecision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06