UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
40%
Kianzad
60%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pennington
Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Kianzad has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kianzad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kianzad's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kianzad
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+67"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kianzad
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
46.8
33.2
Performance Avg
46.8
25
Quality of Victory
32
45
Momentum Score
80
Kianzad
Pennington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
9
Body
8
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance15
19Clinch13
0Ground0
Kianzad
Pennington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kianzad
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Kianzad
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Kianzad
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
23%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kianzad
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
1.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
KianzadPennington
Strike Zones
Kianzad
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedPennington
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kianzad targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kianzad
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Kianzad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kianzad · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6Submission
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