UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
47%
Ferreira
53%
Sarafian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
DS
Daniel Sarafian
10 – 6
Pressure Fighter43 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sarafian

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 47% vs Sarafian at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Ferreira throws more volume but Sarafian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sarafian has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ferreira
Sarafian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
73"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Sarafian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
19.0
49.5
Performance Avg
46.0
43
Quality of Victory
55
58
Momentum Score
59
Ferreira
Sarafian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Ferreira
Sarafian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Sarafian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Ferreira
Sarafian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Ferreira
Sarafian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Sarafian
Striking1.2 / 5.7Volume6.5 / 0.7Grappling4.3 / 4.0Wrestling3.0 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure4.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Sarafian
Ferreira
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Sarafian
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sarafian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Sarafian
0/0R00/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Sarafian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L5.0W5.5L1.5L5.2W1.5L2013-012013-062013-112014-062014-122016-02
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Sarafian · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Oluwale BamgboseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi KunimotoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie MendezRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Daniel Sarafian
← Back to fights