METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Middleweight
VS
42%
Leites
58%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 42% vs Alvey at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Leites
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
22.9
48.8
Performance Avg
44.3
40
Quality of Victory
45
35
Momentum Score
43
Leites
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.9
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
3
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Leites
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Leites
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
43
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Leites
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
LeitesAlvey
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10