METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Middleweight
VS
42%
Leites
58%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 42% vs Alvey at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Leites
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
22.9
48.8
Performance Avg
44.3
40
Quality of Victory
45
35
Momentum Score
43
Leites
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
3
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Leites
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Leites
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
43
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Leites
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
LeitesAlvey
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10