METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Velasquez
7%
Stojnic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:34
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:34
def. Denis Stojnic · UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Velasquez is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stojnic has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezStojnic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
Stojnic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Stojnic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
1.8
69.4
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Velasquez
Stojnic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
6
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
4Clinch1
10Ground0
Velasquez
Stojnic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Velasquez
Stojnic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Velasquez
Stojnic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Velasquez
Stojnic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Stojnic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VelasquezStojnic
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedStojnic
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Stojnic absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Stojnic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Stojnic
0/0R00/0
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Stojnic · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Stefan StruveSubmission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
L · KO · R2
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02