UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
19 Feb 2022
Featherweight
VS
93%
Skelly
7%
Striegl
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Skelly
Skelly is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Skelly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striegl has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Striegl has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Skelly
Striegl
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Skelly
Striegl
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.0
2.5
56.6
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Skelly
Striegl
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance4
2Clinch0
3Ground0
Skelly
Striegl
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Skelly
Striegl
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Skelly
Striegl
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Skelly
Striegl
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Skelly
Striegl
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SkellyStriegl
Strike Zones
Skelly
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedStriegl
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Skelly targets the head (91% of attacks) — Striegl absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Striegl targets the head (75% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Skelly
RND
Striegl
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Skelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Striegl · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby MoffettUFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Striegl · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
Said NurmagomedovRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10