UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Flyweight
VS
54%
Mokaev
46%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Muhammad
Muhammad Mokaev
"The Punisher"
13 – 0
5'7"70" reachOrthodox25 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mokaev

This is a genuine toss-up — Mokaev at 54% vs Johnson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mokaev
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
25+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Mokaev
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
53.8
62.6
Performance Avg
48.4
38
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
75
Mokaev
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Mokaev
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mokaev
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Mokaev
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Mokaev
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mokaev
Johnson
Striking2.0 / 4.9Volume5.4 / 6.1Grappling5.6 / 1.5Wrestling3.9 / 1.1Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Mokaev
Strike Zones
Johnson
Mokaev
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mokaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mokaev
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Mokaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.1W5.4W5.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.2W2022-032022-102023-102024-07
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Mokaev · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Muhammad Mokaev · Charles Johnson
← Back to fights