UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Featherweight
VS
50%
Siver
50%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Siver
This is a genuine toss-up — Siver at 50% vs Nunes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Siver has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Nunes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Siver's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siver
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
14.1
46.1
Performance Avg
35.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
55
Siver
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
5
Body
6
7
Leg
8
RangeRange
20Distance13
5Clinch9
0Ground0
Siver
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siver
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Siver
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
55
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Siver
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Siver
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
SiverNunes
Strike Zones
Siver
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedNunes
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Siver targets the head (52% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (36% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Siver
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Bart PalaszewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06