UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Welterweight
VS
41%
Means
59%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:37
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 41% vs Rodriguez at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Means connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Means
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Means
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
53.3
45.2
Performance Avg
50.7
41
Quality of Victory
37
40
Momentum Score
70
Means
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
21
2
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Means
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Means
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
40%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Rodriguez
Striking5.0 / 4.4Volume4.8 / 6.2Grappling2.2 / 2.2Wrestling1.5 / 1.6Submission1.3 / 1.0Pressure5.3 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Means
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Means
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (65% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (84% of attacks) — Means absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Tim Means · Daniel Rodriguez
← Back to fights