UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Flyweight
VS
68%
Elliott
32%
Nguyen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elliott
Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Nguyen has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Nguyen throws more volume but Elliott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nguyen has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elliott
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Elliott
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
17.6
37.9
Performance Avg
51.8
33
Quality of Victory
48
43
Momentum Score
33
Elliott
Nguyen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Elliott
Nguyen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Elliott
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Elliott
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Nguyen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
ElliottNguyen
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNguyen
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Nguyen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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