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UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Featherweight
VS
34%
Jason
66%
Stephens
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 0:40
RJ
Rony Jason
14 – 7
5'7"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
Jeremy
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29 – 23
Well-Rounded7-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 45
β˜… Official Result
Jeremy StephenswinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 0:40
def. Rony Jason Β· UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
β†’
Actual result
Stephens wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Stephens holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings β€” but Jason has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 27 points.

Striking split: Stephens throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stephens has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JasonStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Jason
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
45.0
60.4
Performance Avg
41.1
67
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
76
Jason
Stephens
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Jason
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jason
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Jason
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
72
76
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
7-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jason
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jason
Stephens
Striking6.0 / 5.5Volume3.0 / 4.6Grappling2.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.8 / 0.8Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Jason
Strike Zones
Stephens
Jason
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Stephens
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Stephens absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Jason absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Jason
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jason Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.0L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2012-062013-062014-032016-082017-03
WinLossTrend

Stephens Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.7W2.8L5.5L4.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W6.0L6.9L5.5W6.6L4.5W5.5L6.3L4.5W6.9W5.2W2.0L5.5L7.1L3.2L2.6L6.5L2.2L2007-052010-092014-062018-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Jason Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres Β· 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves Β· 2015-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado Β· 2014-05
W Β· KO Β· R1
Steven SilerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 Β· 2014-03

Stephens Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
King GreenRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Β· 2025-05
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises Β· 2021-07
L Β· KO Β· R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman Β· 2019-10

News & Media

Rony Jason Β· Jeremy Stephens
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