UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Featherweight
VS
34%
Jason
66%
Stephens
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
Stephens holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Jason has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Striking split: Stephens throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jason
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
45.0
60.4
Performance Avg
41.1
67
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
76
Jason
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Jason
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jason
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Jason
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jason
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jason
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
JasonStephens
Strike Zones
Jason
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedStephens
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jason
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jason · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jason · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon JacksonUFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
