UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
68%
Latifi
32%
O'Connell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:30
IL
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17 – 9
5'10"73" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 33
SO
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
17 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Latifi

Latifi holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but O'Connell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Latifi
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
15.6
48.4
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
26
Latifi
O'Connell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Latifi
O'Connell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Latifi
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Latifi
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Latifi
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Latifi
O'Connell
Striking4.5 / 10.0Volume4.7 / 0.6Grappling2.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Latifi
Strike Zones
O'Connell
Latifi
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
O'Connell
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (100% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Latifi
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Latifi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.5W5.6W5.5L3.5L6.7L5.1W4.5W5.8L2013-042015-072017-092020-022023-05
WinLossTrend

O'Connell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W1.5L5.5L2.8L2014-042015-012016-012016-12
WinLossTrend

Latifi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

O'Connell · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Ilir Latifi · Sean O'Connell
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