UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Welterweight
VS
58%
Dalby
42%
Till
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nicolas
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
24 – 6
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
DT
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
18 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dalby

This is a genuine toss-up — Dalby at 58% vs Till at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Dalby throws more volume but Till connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dalby
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
41
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dalby
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
30.5
41.9
Performance Avg
44.3
29
Quality of Victory
38
45
Momentum Score
35
Dalby
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
58
Head
8
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance7
24Clinch2
21Ground0
Dalby
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dalby
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Dalby
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Dalby
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dalby
Till
Striking2.5 / 4.4Volume8.2 / 6.4Grappling2.1 / 1.6Wrestling1.5 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.7 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Dalby
Strike Zones
Till
Dalby
Attacking
58HEAD2BODY1LEGS61 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Till
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
58HEAD2BODY1LEGS61 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dalby targets the head (95% of attacks) — Till absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (89% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dalby
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dalby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.6L4.5W4.7W5.5W7.0W7.1L3.6L4.5W2015-052020-112023-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Till · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W2.1L2.1L4.8W6.4L3.0L5.9L2015-052017-102019-032021-092022-12
WinLossTrend

Dalby · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Till · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03

News & Media

Nicolas Dalby · Darren Till
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