UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Lightweight
VS
57%
Saggo
43%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jason Saggo
12 – 4
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
LS
Leandro Silva
"Buscape"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Saggo

This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 57% vs Silva at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Saggo throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Saggo
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
14.0
49.0
Performance Avg
37.9
48
Quality of Victory
35
52
Momentum Score
30
Saggo
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
18
4
Body
3
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance19
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Saggo
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saggo
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Saggo
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Saggo
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Silva
Striking7.7 / 0.9Volume3.7 / 6.2Grappling0.8 / 4.3Wrestling0.6 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.2 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Saggo
Strike Zones
Silva
Saggo
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY6LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY6LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (72% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L3.0L2014-062014-102016-032016-062016-122017-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2013-062014-112015-112016-09
WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew Dober
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Leandro Silva
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