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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Lightweight
VS
57%
Saggo
43%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jason Saggo
124
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
LS
Leandro Silva
"Buscape"
206
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Jason SaggowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Leandro Silva · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saggo
Actual result
Saggo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 57% vs Silva at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SaggoSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Saggo
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
14.0
49.0
Performance Avg
37.9
48
Quality of Victory
35
52
Momentum Score
30
Saggo
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
3.6
3.7
Style: Volume
6.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
18
4
Body
3
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance19
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Saggo
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saggo
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Saggo
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Saggo
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Silva
Striking7.7 / 0.9Volume3.7 / 6.2Grappling0.8 / 4.3Wrestling0.6 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.2 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Saggo
Strike Zones
Silva
Saggo
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY6LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY6LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (72% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam Khabilov
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin Salas
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul Felder
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam Khabilov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason Saggo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain Escudero
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis Gonzalez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew Dober
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Leandro Silva
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