Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Ottawa, Canada

18 Jun 2016

Lightweight

57%

Saggo

43%

Silva

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Jason Saggo

12 – 4

5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 19

Leandro Silva

"Buscape"

20 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"

CFR 14

★ Official Result

Jason SaggowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Leandro Silva · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Saggo

→

Actual result

Saggo wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 57% vs Silva at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Saggo throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SaggoSilva

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Saggo

Silva

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'9"

71"

Reach

+72"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Saggo

Silva

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

18.5

14.0

49.0

Performance Avg

37.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Saggo

Silva

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

1.1

42%

Strike Accuracy

49%

7.7

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.9

2 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

24Distance19

0Clinch1

0Ground5

Saggo

Silva

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

0.5

Sub Attempts / fight

—

0.8

Grappling Style Score (/10)

4.3

0.6

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

3.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Saggo

Silva

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/16 fights

Chin rating based on

8/26 fights

Saggo

Silva

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Saggo

Silva

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo

Silva

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.9

0.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

6.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.2

Saggo

Strike Zones

Silva

Saggo

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

25 absorbed

Silva

Attacking

25 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Saggo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 58% of strikes there

🎯Silva targets the head (72% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo

RND

Silva

0/0R00/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8

WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1

WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Gilbert BurnsRating 3

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

L · Dec · R3

Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5

Decision

UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

W · Dec · R3

Leandro SilvaRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

W · KO · R1

Justin SalasRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03

L · Dec · R3

Paul FelderRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

L · Dec · R3

Jason SaggoRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

W · Dec · R3

Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

W · Dec · R3

Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

Upcoming

Drew Dober

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Leandro Silva

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