UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
52%
Zellhuber
48%
Giagos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Zellhuber
This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 52% vs Giagos at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Zellhuber throws more volume but Giagos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Giagos has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Zellhuber
Giagos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Giagos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
38.8
37.0
Performance Avg
41.0
33
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
64
Zellhuber
Giagos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
9
Body
1
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance10
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Giagos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zellhuber
Giagos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Zellhuber
Giagos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Zellhuber
Giagos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zellhuber
Giagos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
ZellhuberGiagos
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedGiagos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (46% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Giagos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zellhuber
RND
Giagos
0/0R00/0
Zellhuber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Giagos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Zellhuber · Last 5
L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Giagos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

