UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Lemos
39%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lemos
Lemos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Hill has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lemos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Hill throws more volume but Lemos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lemos
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
36.2
49.6
Performance Avg
36.7
43
Quality of Victory
31
85
Momentum Score
40
Lemos
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
7
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance15
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Lemos
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Lemos
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lemos
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
15%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lemos
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
LemosHill
Strike Zones
Lemos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedHill
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (56% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (53% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lemos
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lemos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
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Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
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