UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Kingsbury
43%
Cummins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KK
Kyle Kingsbury
"Kingsbu"
11 – 6
6'4"79" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
PC
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
10 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kingsbury

This is a genuine toss-up — Kingsbury at 57% vs Cummins at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kingsbury
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kingsbury
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
12.7
38.0
Performance Avg
39.0
34
Quality of Victory
34
74
Momentum Score
45
Kingsbury
Cummins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
22
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch4
0Ground13
Kingsbury
Cummins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kingsbury
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Kingsbury
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kingsbury
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kingsbury
Cummins
Striking3.4 / 4.3Volume6.9 / 6.3Grappling1.8 / 1.6Wrestling1.3 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Kingsbury
Strike Zones
Cummins
Kingsbury
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Cummins
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kingsbury targets the head (40% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kingsbury absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kingsbury
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0

Kingsbury · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L1.9L4.8L5.5L2008-122011-022012-052014-07
WinLossTrend

Cummins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L5.5W3.1L1.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L1.5L1.7L2014-022015-042017-042019-05
WinLossTrend

Kingsbury · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 4.8
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

Cummins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

News & Media

Kyle Kingsbury · Patrick Cummins
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