UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Middleweight
VS
57%
Camozzi
43%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Camozzi
This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 57% vs Santos at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Camozzi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
10.9
37.6
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
27
Camozzi
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
3
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Camozzi
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Camozzi
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camozzi
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
CamozziSantos
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSantos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (63% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camozzi
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
Santos · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12