METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Lightweight
VS
87%
Bermudez
13%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dennis BermudezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Te Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Bermudez is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BermudezEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
2.1
43.2
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Bermudez
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
33%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
4
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
21Ground3
Bermudez
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Bermudez
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bermudez
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BermudezEdwards
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Edwards · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R2
Don MadgeRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10