UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Lightweight
VS
87%
Bermudez
13%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
17 – 9
5'6"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
TE
Te Edwards
6 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bermudez

Bermudez is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bermudez
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
2.1
43.2
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Bermudez
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
33%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
4
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
21Ground3
Bermudez
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Bermudez
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bermudez
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bermudez
Edwards
Striking2.2 / 0.0Volume6.8 / 0.0Grappling3.3 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Bermudez
Strike Zones
Edwards
Bermudez
Attacking
20HEAD4BODY4LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD4BODY4LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bermudez
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L4.5L4.5W4.5W2.0L6.0L6.2L5.6L4.5W2011-122013-112016-022018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L2018-102019-01
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Edwards · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R2
Don MadgeRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Dennis Bermudez · Te Edwards
← Back to fights