UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Middleweight
VS
63%
Brunson
37%
Heinisch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
IH
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brunson

Brunson holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Heinisch has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Heinisch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson
Heinisch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Heinisch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
23.7
54.7
Performance Avg
39.1
47
Quality of Victory
37
72
Momentum Score
50
Brunson
Heinisch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
22
14
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
34Distance24
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Brunson
Heinisch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brunson
Heinisch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Brunson
Heinisch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brunson
Heinisch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Heinisch
Striking6.3 / 4.2Volume4.2 / 6.2Grappling2.0 / 1.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.1Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Brunson
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Brunson
Attacking
20HEAD14BODY2LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Heinisch
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD14BODY2LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Heinisch targets the head (85% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Heinisch
0/0R00/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Heinisch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.1W5.8L4.2L2018-112019-082020-062021-07
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Heinisch · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Ian Heinisch
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